![]() However, Poirier has an edge with a 1.39-to-0.13 takedown average advantage and he has a 1.24 submission average, too. Gaethje is also slightly more accurate with his strikes, landing 60.57% to 54.94% for Poirier. Poirier holds a 2-inch reach advantage but Gaethje has a 7.38-to-5.51 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. These 2 fighters met in the main event in a UFC Fight Night in mid-April 2018, with Poirier picking up the KO/TKO win in the 4th round. However, those are the only 2 times he has gone the distance in his 10 fights at the UFC level. He has gone the distance in 2 of the past 3 bouts. He lost a title bout to Oliveira at UFC 274 before bouncing back with a majority-decision win over Rafael Fiziev at UFC 286 in March. Gaethje has alternated wins and losses in his past 5 fights. He has had 4 consecutive finishes since last going the distance against Dan Hooker in June 2020. Poirier posted a 3rd-round submission victory over Michael Chandler last time out in November at UFC 281 as he bounced back from a submission loss to Charles Oliveira in a title fight at UFC 269 in December 2021. Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here. ET and the main card is on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET, with the prelims are on ABC/ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. Gaethje 2 odds, and make our expert picks and predictions. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 291: Poirier vs. ![]() In a lightweight bout in the main event, Dustin Poirier and Justin Gaethje meet Saturday at UFC 291 at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. Auto Racing / NASCAR Picks and Predictions. ![]()
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